Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.298072 0.341665 0.388425 0.442195 0.502197 0.566971 0.642061
2025-11-30 0.227030 0.285836 0.353914 0.438054 0.538716 0.654719 0.797918
2025-12-07 0.171954 0.237054 0.318104 0.425232 0.561767 0.728519 0.945950
2025-12-14 0.135705 0.203974 0.294978 0.422915 0.595519 0.817397 1.120764
2025-12-21 0.106293 0.173888 0.270144 0.413598 0.617626 0.892430 1.284502
2025-12-28 0.090350 0.159586 0.264165 0.428200 0.672346 1.014443 1.520203
2026-01-04 0.077414 0.147142 0.258498 0.441656 0.725818 1.138427 1.768070
2026-01-11 0.064819 0.132595 0.246963 0.443966 0.762014 1.239658 1.990488
2026-01-18 0.054308 0.119406 0.235288 0.443897 0.793529 1.335325 2.210573
2026-01-25 0.045479 0.107394 0.223520 0.441627 0.820402 1.424879 2.426492
2026-02-01 0.038348 0.097128 0.213096 0.439910 0.847224 1.515319 2.648637
2026-02-08 0.032506 0.088217 0.203682 0.438459 0.873675 1.606149 2.876122
2026-02-15 0.027070 0.079054 0.192506 0.432647 0.892474 1.686779 3.094484
2026-02-22 0.023709 0.073988 0.188903 0.440903 0.937264 1.814162 3.397719
2026-03-01 0.019856 0.066687 0.179263 0.435743 0.956386 1.898303 3.633182
2026-03-08 0.017125 0.061632 0.173754 0.438297 0.990181 2.010167 3.922233
2026-03-15 0.014304 0.055494 0.164608 0.431762 1.005259 2.088951 4.157695
2026-03-22 0.013089 0.053856 0.166130 0.448916 1.069257 2.261170 4.567621
2026-03-29 0.011915 0.052021 0.166841 0.464229 1.130577 2.431807 4.983121
2026-04-05 0.010392 0.048543 0.162635 0.467469 1.166659 2.556505 5.320934
2026-04-12 0.008982 0.044988 0.157563 0.467920 1.196608 2.670862 5.645000
2026-04-19 0.007695 0.041430 0.151804 0.465874 1.220725 2.774910 5.954506
2026-04-26 0.006606 0.038244 0.146514 0.464285 1.245541 2.881479 6.273551